ASSESSING AUGUST

Looking back over the first month of the season

First up, my apologies that there’s been no content of late. I just needed a bit of a break and then it made little sense to publish this piece before the transfer window closed. But anyway, I’m back now. May the world rejoice.

So, let’s break down how we’ve started the campaign:

Results

You can’t really complain about running at two points a game. It takes a fairly freakish set of circumstances for that not to be top two form over the course of a season. It’s even more impressive when you consider who it is we’ve played; most would have Middlesbrough, Derby, Hull and Brentford pegged as top 10 teams at least, and Cardiff have won every single game to date somehow (as much as I dislike Neil Warnock, he deserves great credit for what he’s done in South Wales. The knob). Faced with a tough start, we’ve come up with the goods so far. Cardiff was deeply disappointing – it’s fair to point out that the refereeing in that game was criminally poor, but that’s not what cost us the game – but every other result has been a good one. Brentford may be struggling at the moment but in time I believe that will be seen as a decent point. We’ve also beaten yet another Premier League team away from home with literally a reserve team. Even allowing for the excitement surrounding our new signings, it’s been a better start than many could have envisaged.

“Another one nailed off the ball! Get in”

The New Arrivals

What has been encouraging is that the vast majority of the new signings have fitted in straight away. Ruben Neves is a magician and has no business playing at this level; the same applies to Diogo Jota who will light up this league. Leo Bonatini looks to be a solid striker with a technical base that will allow us to play off and around him. Willy Boly is a man mountain at the back, although does have a slight penchant for the odd girly flick to put us in trouble, while John Ruddy looks like the keeper we’ve needed for the last five years and will be pushed hard by the very promising Will Norris. Barry Douglas is an actual left back and again, has strong competition from the exciting Ruben Vinagre. You might slightly quibble that Roderick Miranda has occasionally looked a little uneasy (although he’s been fairly decent overall), reports from his previous clubs on last minute arrival Alfred N’Diaye are mixed, Ryan Bennett looks…clunky to say the least, and we’re yet to see anything from Phil Ofosu-Ayeh who arrived with a slightly iffy injury record and is apparently yet to join full training. Overall though, this window represents exceptional incoming business with far from a huge outlay by current standards. By and large, they look players willing to accept what the Championship has to offer and to face that challenge head on. Admittedly we might need to wait until the temperature drops below 10 degrees to see what they’re really made of. Except Glasgow-born Douglas of course.

Two top notch signings.

Credit is also due to the club in bringing in £8.5m for a raft of unwanted and unsuitable players, a figure well above what anyone could have envisaged when the 2016/17 campaign drew to a close. If nothing else, you’d hope it would end any flapping about Financial Fair Play for now (to reiterate, we aren’t in any danger of breaching that at all).

The System

As we all know, we’ve shifted to a 3-4-2-1 system this season with Conor Coady at the heart of the back three, wingbacks pushed high up the pitch and two inside forwards playing behind a lone central striker. As we have seen, results and performances have generally been good so far. I do, however, have some concerns about the current set-up:

  1. While this may be a vision of Nuno’s that he’s had for some time, he has never played three at the back with any regularity at any of his previous clubs. Indeed his past experience of playing this formation extends to one league game and two cup games at Valencia. Furthermore, very few of our players have much, if any, prior experience of playing in such a shape. This means that everyone is learning on the job as we go, in a division where three at the back predominantly tends to be an early season experiment which gets ditched before the leaves have started falling. It’s not to say that it won’t work, and early signs aren’t bad at all. But what we don’t have here is a situation where a manager has come in and decided to play in a way that he has stuck to for years at all his previous clubs; this is an experiment on his part.

  2. Even in the past two seasons when we’ve been absolutely diabolical at Molineux, plenty of bottom half teams have come here and set up for a point. Now that we have upgraded our squad to the point where we should be expecting a top six place as a bare minimum, this is going to apply even more. With that in mind, do we really need three centre halves, two career full backs (no matter how much they are pushed on – and Matt Doherty is not a proper attacking option on the right hand side in any case) and two central midfielders who by inclination will tend to sit rather than push into the attacking third? That’s seven players who you could nominally describe as defensively minded. I certainly have no problem with clean sheets being a highly valued currency – and five inside a calendar month is encouraging – and I wouldn’t expect us to be ripping teams apart 4-0 and 5-0 with any regularity. However, when the onus is on us to attack, it does seem a little like defensive overkill in terms of balance. We may well need some flexibility in this respect and Saturday’s match at home to Millwall will be a good test of how we approach a game against opponents who won’t be looking to go at us from the off.

    Not that I believe that the seasons will follow the same path (and we certainly have a far better squad and manager than we did then) but we ended August 2005 with a league record of P6 W3 D2 L1, playing possession heavy football with a new formation and looking well set for a promotion push. Then the rest of the season happened. Now, Nuno isn’t Glenn Hoddle. He isn’t relying on the current day equivalent of Darren Anderton to be our creative force. Nor is he that likely to stick Bonatini on the left wing. But the point is that if we set up in this way, we have to be very careful that we’re not easily nullified. Allowing for the fact that we have played one heavily fancied team and one team with a 100% record so far, we have not created much at all in our two home league games to date. If that pattern were to continue, then there would be cause for concern.

  3. This leads in to the worry that the formation doesn’t allow us to get all of our attacking players on the pitch at the same time. There are three spots and when everyone is fit, all of Leo Bonatini, Helder Costa, Diogo Jota, Ivan Cavaleiro, Bright Enobakhare, Ben Marshall (if he is not employed in the right wing back role), Michal Zyro and Donovan Wilson will be vying to fill them. Of course, none of those players are going to play every game and having the likes of Cavaleiro waiting in the wings represents strong strength in depth. You do wonder, however, if there might be certain games where we’re better off ditching a superfluous defender in favour of getting an extra attacking option on the pitch. Jota in particular seems to have the skillset to flourish as a number 10 just as much as he’s an incredibly exciting option from slightly wider. We’ve already felt compelled to send Jordan Graham out on loan as he’s unlikely to get games in one of the inside forward positions; we could do without others becoming disenchanted because the preferred shape doesn’t allow them enough game time.

The End of Edwards

So finally, it’s over. Almost ten years of watching Dave Edwards has come to a close. Let’s get a few things out of the way first up; no-one at all would ever criticise Edwards’ effort, desire, ability to get the absolute maximum from his ability or affinity to the club. He’s clearly a very, very nice guy who does some fantastic work off the pitch and would never have caused a minute’s trouble for anyone even if he’d been forced into a peripheral role this season. He probably does deserve a testimonial despite falling just short of a decade’s worth of service. It’s nice to have that kind of character in football. All of that is inarguable.

Unfortunately, none of that in itself wins you any points at all over the course of a season. Not only did Edwards have no role whatsoever fit for him with the way we are set up to play under Nuno, but he didn’t even fulfil the brief given to him under much more traditional and prosaically “Championship” managers that we’ve had here. The Express & Star’s piece on his departure took a snipe at fans who “wouldn’t ignore what he couldn’t do”’; I’m not sure how we’re supposed to ignore the fact that a central midfielder can’t pass or tackle. The official site ran a saccharine-infused piece describing him as a “special player in a workmanlike McCarthy team” despite him averaging fewer than 20 starts a season under McCarthy and that team containing some of the best attacking players I’ve ever seen play for us in my 30 seasons of attendance. He didn’t have the ability to play in central midfield as his work in possession was so poor. It’s no coincidence that results slumped under Paul Lambert when he inexplicably restored Edwards to the number 10 role in February of this year. His infrequent runs of goalscoring were welcome, but there were at least an equal number of runs where he’d score at a rate of around 1 in 20 and contribute nothing else.

Had we been more brutal and ruthless in terms of squad management in the McCarthy days, his time would have been up upon promotion to the Premier League, or at very latest following our first season at that level. There have been many, many games where his deficiencies have cost us, no matter how much running he did. Most teams put their most creative and technically skilled player at number 10; we put our least creative player there, month after month under both Jackett and Lambert. This was a day which should have come long ago and the surprise is not that Nuno – unencumbered by existing staff members who might have sung Edwards’ praises – had no use for him, but that it’s Reading who have signed him despite playing perhaps the most possession heavy style of any team in the entire division. But that really is their problem, not ours.

He’s a great guy. I can easily name you 50 Wolves players I’ve disliked more and double that number who’d have had better careers here if they’d adopted Dave’s work ethic. I wish him every success, except when he’s in direct competition with us. But please, spare me the rose-tinted stuff. I didn’t enjoy watching him play and nor did thousands of others.

Captain, Leader, Pointer. I’m sure we’ll survive without him.

The Striker Shortage

Jon Dadi Bodvarsson, Paul Gladon, Andreas Weimann, Joe Mason, Nouha Dicko. All first team strikers for us at various points last season, all no longer at the club. After a season in which not one of them scored more than three goals for us, it would be fair to say that a clearout was necessary. Of course, everyone hoped that we would sign more than one dedicated central striker to replace them, but our bid to bring in PSV’s Jürgen Locadia fell through at the last minute and any secondary targets failed to arrive.

The club don’t escape criticism here. Locadia was by no means the only player in the world that we could have signed and to leave the signing of a player in such a key position so late in the window always had an element of playing with fire about it – while accepting that strikers do tend to be the most difficult players to sign. We had ample opportunity to bring someone in and failed to do so.

Some of the criticism however is wide of the mark. Of those players listed above, surely only Dicko would class as someone who fans would actually still want at the club. Dicko himself had shown this season that he was a deeply imperfect fit for the role required from the central striker now and his inability to hold the ball almost contributed to us dropping points against Middlesbrough. He has rarely looked anything like the player he was before his devastating injury two years ago and picking up £3.5m for a striker who has scored four goals since May 2015 is not to be sniffed at. It doesn’t seem that likely that he’s going to be back to his best any time soon and the manager clearly didn’t fancy him as a serious option. His judgement has to be trusted. It is also better for us to stick with what we have than just sign anyone to be seen to be doing something. Every time Jordan Hugill was mentioned as a potential target, a chill ran down my spine in a manner I’ve not experienced since I saw Steve Corica’s name on the teamsheet every week. Dwight Gayle and Jordan Rhodes are fine goalscorers at this level but are they really equipped to do what we would need them to do? I would suggest not.

This is where just signing anyone gets you.

Of course, we are now crossing our fingers that Bonatini can build on his promising start and stay fit. There is some scope for Cavaleiro being able to play centrally, but at the moment we’re guessing whether he will or won’t be able to perform effectively there. It’s a state of affairs which could end up costing us dearly and I reiterate, a situation the club should not have allowed us to get into. But time will tell. If we are indeed loitering around 9th place come Christmas, it won’t be because we sold Nouha Dicko.

On we go to two eminently winnable home fixtures against Millwall and Bristol City; check back here next week for reaction to both games.

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MATCH PREVIEW: WOLVES VS BRENTFORD

Another high flying team to face in deceptively tough start to season

Preamble

First of all, apologies for the last fortnight’s hiatus in blogs. Partly for technical reasons (I couldn’t access the admin part of the site for a little while, for reasons best known to WordPress) and partly for personal reasons which aren’t worth going into here (maybe in a separate blog); suffice to say I need some time out every now and then. Hopefully everything’s back on track now and we can get back to regular content going up.

barnsley1
Watching “defending” like this can throw a man’s welfare into chaos. I should be used to it, but still.

Back to more important matters and tomorrow’s game at home to Brentford. Looking at the fixtures when they were first published, it appeared to be a fairly gentle start to the season on paper, yet as it transpires we have already played the teams currently sitting in 1st, 3rd, 4th, 5th and 8th places and tomorrow’s visitors from West London are 6th in the table. With that in mind, going along at 1.5 points per game while still trying to bed down our plethora of new signings is not bad early progress. The biggest issue at this stage has been consistency, displayed no more so in losing 4-0 at home to Barnsley and winning 2-0 at Newcastle inside four days. Stating the obvious, but from here it’s about putting together more of the latter performances as the talent is clearly there within the squad to beat anyone in this division. We have to hope that last week marked a watershed with the end of us starting games far too slowly and allowing opponents to get a foothold in the game, which is not a luxury that any Championship team can get away with on a regular basis.

The team

We all know by now that Walter Zenga is an advocate of squad rotation. It’s fairly clear that over a 46 game season, it is beneficial to have the option to swap players in like for like without impacting on the quality of the starting XI, ensuring that everyone remains fresh, particularly as we now have a sizeable foreign contingent unused to the unrelenting grind of the Championship. However, this is only acceptable to a point; there is protecting players and there is making changes for the sake of making changes, which Zenga has already been guilty of on more than one occasion. It could be that having been denied the opportunity to view his players in pre-season, he’s been taking an extended look at what is available to him in these opening few weeks. By now, it has to become apparent to him who our best options are and we must start developing a consistent heart to the team which remains the same week on week; this being the basis of pretty much any successful team at this or any level. Even when Claudio Ranieri picked up his ‘Tinkerman’ tag at Chelsea in the early part of the century, he wasn’t changing the back four every week.

zenga7
Passion and enthusiasm are all very well, but I’d like to know pretty much who’s playing at centre half every week.

With that in mind, we should be using the superb win at St James’ Park as a template and making that the starting point when we come to select a team. I would only make two changes from that game; Dave Edwards very rarely has two good games in a row so I would be removing him and installing Conor Coady who had possibly his best game in a Wolves shirt against Burton a fortnight ago. It’s a perfect illustration of why ‘never change a winning team’ is a fallacy really; I can more or less guarantee you that if Edwards starts tomorrow, he’ll provide absolutely nothing positive and be a waste of a shirt for the 45-65 minutes that he lasts before being hauled off, we’ve all seen it time and time again. Don’t wait for that to happen before you take action. Elsewhere I would bring in Ivan Cavaleiro for Joao Teixeira who is beginning to tail off a little after his excellent start; there is of course plenty to be encouraged with regarding Teixeira and he would remain a fine option from the bench.

It’s on the bench where I hope to see further encouraging developments in the return to the matchday squad of Nouha Dicko. 80 minutes and a goal for the U23s against Middlesbrough on Monday, in a performance which from the highlights provided appeared to be full of his trademark pace and power, added to previous gametime should see him ready to be able to make a contribution as a substitute from here. He would represent a far superior option should we need late impetus than Paul Gladon who has struggled thus far to demonstrate why we saw him as a viable option. There is time for the Dutchman of course, though it would probably be wise for him to learn the offside rule ahead of his next appearance. Not jumping like Stefan Maierhofer might be an idea too.

Rapid Vienna's Stefan Maierhofer celebrates after scoring against LASK Linz during their Austrian league soccer match in Vienna
Ok, maybe that’s a bit harsh.

Carl Ikeme

Matt Doherty – Dominic Iorfa – Danny Batth – Cameron Borthwick-Jackson

Romain Saiss

Conor Coady – Prince Oniangue

Helder Costa – Jon Dadi Bodvarsson – Ivan Cavaleiro

Subs: Andy Lonergan, Silvio, Kortney Hause, Dave Edwards, Joao Teixeira, Joe Mason, Nouha Dicko.

The opposition

Ex-Walsall boss Dean Smith overcame a slow start to his time at Griffin Park (only 12 points collected from his first 13 games) to rally well and finish last season strongly, as Brentford won seven of their final nine fixtures to end up in a creditable 9th place. That good work has extended into the new campaign as they shrugged off an opening day defeat at early surprise package Huddersfield and have since picked up 14 points from their last seven games. As such, this is a team in a long standing run of excellent form and they will provide a tough proposition this weekend. Much of the recent success has been built on the goals of one time Wolves target Scott Hogan, who has recovered from a serious knee injury and has scored 13 times in his 16 Brentford appearances to date.

While Alan Judge remains sidelined with a broken leg, highly rated Danish defender Andreas Bjelland has made a return from his own long term injury this season and Smith can also call on the services of early 2010s Chelsea wunderkind Josh McEachran who may finally be fulfilling some of his vast potential after years of nondescript loan spells. Romaine Sawyers and Rico Henry have followed their former manager from Walsall to Hounslow and the loss of keeper David Button to neighbours Fulham has been more than offset by the arrival of Daniel Bentley from Southend who has long appeared to be an excellent prospect.

Last line up (vs Preston, 17.9.16, W 5-0): Bentley; Colin, Dean, Egan, Bjelland; Yennaris, Woods; Kaikai, Sawyers, MacLeod; Hogan

Form: WLDWDW

Top scorers: Scott Hogan (6), John Egan (3)

Last meeting

Tuesday 23 February 2016: Brentford 3-0 Wolves

Oh dear. This was a true horror show of a display and left Kenny Jackett’s stock as Wolves manager at perhaps its lowest, with this being our third straight defeat and leaving us with a mere three points in a seven game winless run. The goals came from feeble defending showing little commitment to the cause and it was a game where a three goal defeat was almost a mercy as Brentford peppered the Wolves goal with 20 attempts. This was Rajiv van La Parra’s final game in a Wolves shirt; coming days after he had made some unnecessary comments towards the fans on Instagram (our Raj being a very 21st century kind of wastrel), he lasted just over an hour of being constantly harangued by the away fans before being mercifully withdrawn. There were no positives to take from this game.

vlp1
Apart from this dickhead getting binned for good, of course.

Team: Ikeme; Doherty, Batth, Ebanks-Landell, Hause; van La Parra (Le Fondre 63), Coady, McDonald, Byrne (Saville 62); Mason, Sigurdarson. Unused subs: Martinez, Iorfa, Price, Rowe, Hunte.

Past meetings

2013/14: D 0-0 (H), W 3-0 (H)

2014/15: W 2-1 (H), L 0-4 (A)

2015/16: L 0-2 (H), L 0-3 (A)

Prediction

Wolves 1-1 Brentford (Cavaleiro)

This is an occasion where Brentford’s perceived status as a club in terms of size needs to be disregarded, they are a team that has found their niche in the Championship and as above, have been in top two form for what equates to a third of a season now (albeit stretched over two campaigns). A point would represent a decent if unspectacular return.